The Dictator's Handbook

The Dictator's Handbook

Why Bad Behavior Is Almost Always Good Politics

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and Alastair Smith

Winner's Lock

Winners eliminate competition; victory becomes permanent control.

Anyone could take complete control if only she had five supporters with automatic weapons pointed at the rest. She would remain in power so long as the five gunmen continue to back her. But there need be nothing special about her or about the gunmen beyond the fact that they grabbed the guns first. ... There is no prize for coming in second. Paying supporters, not good governance or representing the general will, is the essence of ruling.
Ejection Seat

Founders ousted through political power dynamics.

The most important of these groups is the third, the subset of the real selectorate that makes up a winning coalition. These are the people whose support is essential if a leader is to survive in office. ... These were the folks with the power to overthrow their boss—and he knew it.
Winning Coalition

Organizations minimize coalitions needed to maintain control.

Louis XIV’s experience exemplifies the most fundamental fact of political life. No one rules alone; no one has absolute authority. All that varies is how many backs have to be scratched and how big the supply of backs available for scratching.